Physical security: top predictions, trends for 2024 – SecurityInfoWatch

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“The technology will plateau and then several years down the road, there will be another significant leap – but it’s not going to deliver on the potential promised by the current hype machine for a very long time.” 

A shift of weapons detection systems from specific applications to mainstream requirements will also occur this year, Evans notes. 

Like fire alarms and access badges, organizations will begin to mandate proactive AI-driven systems for preventing weapon-related incidents. This shift will create a demand for next-generation solutions that scale cost-effectively and provide advanced insights, ushering in a new era of security protocols, he says. 

Simon Bain, CEO at web3 and Omnilndex, believes the environment and private data security will become issues with AI as well. He believes tech’s environmental impact will influence buying decisions more than ever.

While Google and Microsoft have made commitments to remove their carbon legacy as well as reach net-zero, Bain says AI and large-language models (LLMs) like ChatGPT and Bard “potentially threaten this pledge and buck the trend with their reportedly huge emissions. 

Estimates vary from source to source, but research suggests an AI query with an LLM is four to five times bigger than a traditional search engine query. 

“What’s more,” he adds, “the emissions come not just from the ongoing cost of operating the AI and user’s accessing it, but from the up-front cost to build and train it.” One reported figure for the up-front costs suggested GPT-3, the model behind the original ChatGPT, had similar emissions to two or three full Boeing 767s doing round trips from New York City to San Francisco.

“One way being talked about is to look at greener energy and optimizing algorithms to make the current solutions as lean as possible,” Bain says. “But in reality, a more dramatic approach is needed to truly cut down how much energy is needed for the training and use – especially when you consider the needs for these services to work just as quickly and accurately in multiple languages.

“Small-language models are one potential solution, because they work with zero training and are designed to produce powerful and accurate results for particular tasks as opposed to being generic ‘jack of all trades’ solutions that require huge computational power and training to try and cover all potential queries.” 

Tool for Heightened Detection

AI is also likely to see an increased role in threat intelligence, anomaly detection, red team testing, incident response simulations and more – which means the data sets are of utmost importance, says Patrick Hayes, Chief Strategy and Product Officer at Third Wave Innovations. 

“We have a responsibility to adequately train models against appropriate data sets, while continuously testing for accuracy, especially if any automated response is involved,” Hayes notes. 

“Adversaries are more than equally using AI in their tactics, techniques and procedures to attack our organizations. The difference is that attackers have no boundaries when developing their strategies and are often way ahead of the curve.” 

The day will come, he says, when AI will evolve to self-protect and defend organizations. 

“Alternatively, we will see attacks that are not necessarily initiated by humans, rather AI continuing to evolve in its training. The fact is AI lacks empathy for the human condition, and, without this, AI can only process the world based on the available data presented,” Hayes says. 

Physical Safety Drives
More Access Control Solutions

Physical safety amidst an evolving threat landscape will continue to remain a top priority, especially for schools that have seen repeated attacks from mass shooters. 

Evaluating campus vulnerabilities and threats then taking further action as necessary will no longer be the job of one, according to leaders at Johnson Controls. 

“Integrated, digital building assessments will take an ‘always on’ approach, helping to provide stronger visibility into the safety of the school, and helping leaders take the appropriate actions to both prevent and respond to incidents,” says Greg Parker, Vice President of Life Cycle Solutions, Fire & Security, at Johnson Controls. 

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